// LIVE RESULTS
Nothing hidden.
Every trade logged.
PAPER TRADING — PHASE 1 IN PROGRESS
// CRYPTO BOT — LIVE STATS
Paper Trades
4
Need 10 at 55%+ WR for Phase 2
Win Rate
0%
2 closed (0W/2L) | 2 open
Signals Skipped
629
Logged with reason — nothing hidden
F&G Index
34
Fear — gates open for longs
Phase 1 → Phase 2 Progress
We won't risk real money until the paper trading system proves itself. Target: 10 trades at 55%+ win rate. Currently 5/10 trades logged.
5 / 10 trades logged · 0% win rate · need 55%+ to advance
// PAPER TRADE LOG
Every trade logged automatically by the bot. Entry and exit prices are real Hyperliquid market prices at time of signal.
| # | Date | Asset | Direction | Entry | Stop | Target | Signal | F&G | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | May 1 | ETH | SHORT | $2,285 | $2,313 | $2,203 | STANDARD | 26 | LOSS -1R |
| 2 | May 1 | SOL | SHORT | $84.13 | $85.39 | $80.35 | STANDARD | 26 | LOSS -1R |
| 3 | May 15 | ETH | LONG | $2,296 | $2,269 | $2,379 | WEAK | 34 | LOSS -1R |
| 4 | May 15 | SOL | SHORT | $92.60 | $93.98 | $88.43 | WEAK | 34 | OPEN |
Signal tiers: STANDARD = 2/3 LLMs agree · WEAK = 1 strong vote, no disagreement
// WHY SO FEW TRADES
Market context — Liberation Day to now
- Apr 2Liberation Day — F&G crashes to 8. Worst reading since Terra-Luna 2022. Bot correctly sits out.
- Apr 2–306 weeks confirmed chop. BTC ADX at 11.57 (Terminal Software confirmed). No valid VWAP setups.
- May 1F&G recovers to 26. First 2 trades fire on ETH and SOL SHORT. Both stopped out as market reverses.
- May 15Weekly trend fix deployed. WEAK signal tier activated. Trades 3 and 4 fire. BTC $880 from 80H ceiling break.
// SKIPPED SIGNALS BREAKDOWN
629 signals evaluated and skipped. Every skip logged with reason. This is how you find miscalibrated filters.
No VWAP/ATR signal
Price not at band extremes
Price not at band extremes
211
LLM disagree
No 2/3 consensus — parser bug now fixed
No 2/3 consensus — parser bug now fixed
177
BTC no mean reversion
RSI and extension not at thresholds
RSI and extension not at thresholds
143
Choppy ADX
ADX below 15 — no trend to trade
ADX below 15 — no trend to trade
56
Low liquidity hours
Midnight–6am NZT window
Midnight–6am NZT window
27
Macro event
FOMC, CPI, Fed decisions
FOMC, CPI, Fed decisions
15
// STOCKS BOT — ALPACA PAPER
7 strategies running on Alpaca paper account. Backtested 20 years. All positions are paper trades.
XLE
+$767
Sector rotation — energy long
XLK
+$311
Sector rotation — tech long
IWM
+$98
S1 overnight drift
AAPL
+$34
S1 overnight drift
GLD
-$294
Gold tactical — reviewing
SPY
-$25
Short position
Net paper P&L on stocks: approximately +$483. Backtested combined return: 2.2%/month net.
// BACKTESTED CRASH PERFORMANCE
2018–19 Bear Market
–2.75%
per month · survived · kept trading
2020 COVID Crash
–1.77%
per month · circuit breaker fired
2022 LUNA/FTX
–1.36%
per month · worst crypto had to offer
Normal Markets
9%
per month target · what we're building toward
// NEXT MILESTONES
| Milestone | Status | What changes |
|---|---|---|
| 10 paper trades | 5/10 — in progress | Forensic audit — find miscalibrated filters |
| 55%+ win rate | 0% — need more data | Phase 2 unlocked — deposit real money |
| BTC 80H ceiling break | $880 away at $82,087 | First BTC paper trade via accumulation signal |
| Phase 2 live trading | Pending above | Real money — real results published here |
| 30 live trades | Future | XGBoost ML loop activates |
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GET PASSIVEBOT → $197PassiveBot AI is an educational product only. Paper trading results are simulated and do not represent actual trading outcomes. Backtested results are hypothetical. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Crypto and stock trading involve significant risk including total loss of capital. You are solely responsible for all trading decisions.